Learning Objectives

To deepen understanding of the concept of strength by exploring the more fundamental concept of probability.

To know what motivates the classical, relative-frequency, and subjectivist theories of probability, and to understand how these theories differ.

To know and understand the elementary rules of probability.

To be able to apply the elementary rules of probability to determine the probability of compound statements.

To understand how the rules of probability can be used to assess the strength of arguments.

To know how to derive Bayes' Theorem from the elementary rules of probability.

To be able to apply Bayes' Theorem to range of problems.