This chapter has focused our attention upon multiple factors that cause interest
rates
and prices to differ between one type of financial asset and another, including
marketability,
liquidity, default risk, call privileges, taxation, prepayment risk, and
convertibility. Among the principal conclusions of the chapter are the following: - Marketability, or the capacity to be sold readily, is positively
related to an assets price and negatively related to its rate of return
or yield. More marketable financial instruments generally carry lower yields.
- Liquid financial instruments also tend to carry lower yields, but
possess the advantages of ready marketability, stable price, and reversibility
(i.e., the capacity to fully recover the funds originally invested).
- Default riskthe danger that a borrower will not make all promised
payments at agreed-upon timesresults in the promised yields of risky
assets rising above the yields on riskless financial instruments. Potential
buyers of these instruments compare their estimated (subjective) probability
of loss from a risky asset to the markets assigned default-risk premium.
For example, if a potential buyer anticipates less risk of loss than suggested
by the markets assigned risk premium, he or she will tend to purchase
the financial instrument in question because its risky yield appears to be
too high and its price too low (i.e., the asset in question looks like a bargain).
- Default-risk premiums attached by the financial marketplace to the promised
yields on risky assets tend to be heavily influenced by the credit ratings
assigned by various credit rating agencies (such as Moodys Investors
Service or Standard & Poors Corporation) and by the condition of
the economy. An expanding economy tends to result in lower default-risk premiums,
while an economy trapped in a recession with rising business bankruptcies
tends to generate higher default-risk premiums on risky assets.
- Many lower-rated companies with questionable credit ratings have issued
speculative or junk bonds in large quantities in recent years. The rise of
junk bonds has broadened the market for corporate debt, offering participating
investors substantially higher yields than were previously available.
- Debt securities with call privileges attached tend to carry higher
promised rates of return than financial instruments not bearing a call privilege.
The right of a security issuer to call away the security he or she has previously
issued and retire it in return for paying a prespecified price gives borrowers
greater flexibility in adapting their capital structure to changing market
conditions. Recently call privileges have been declining in use as corporate
borrowers have discovered other ways of raising funds and protecting themselves
against risk.
- The rapid growth of loan-backed securities (such as mortgage-backed
instruments) has given rise to prepayment riskthe danger that
loans used to back loan-backed securities may be paid back early, lowering
an investors expected yield from loan-backed instruments. The rapid
expansion of loanbacked assets has made prepayment risk more important with
time. Issuers of these instruments have sought to make them more attractive
to buyers by creating different maturity classes (tranches) so that
buyers can select how much prepayment risk they are willing to take on.
- Event risk has long been a significant factor in the pricing of
corporate stock and debt securities. Events that appear to have an
especially significant impact upon asset values include announcements of new
security issues, stock dividends, stock splits, and management changes within
a particular business firm.
- Financial assets generate interest or dividend payments and capital gains
or lossesany or all of which may be subject to taxation at federal
and state levels. Investors must be cognizant of continuing changes in tax
laws and regulations. It is also important to be able to calculate tax-exempt
yields versus taxable returns because some assets (such as municipal bonds)
generate taxexempt income and some investing institutions (such as credit
unions and pension funds) are tax-exempt.
- Some corporate debt and stock instruments carry a convertibility
feature which allows them to be exchanged for a certain number of shares of
stock. Convertibles are often called hybrid securities because
they offer not only relatively stable income (interest payments or fixed dividends)
but also the prospect of substantial capital gains when converted into stock.
Assets with convertibility features tend to sell at a higher price and a lower
promised yield due to their potential for exceptional gains upon conversion.
- The chapter closes with an overview of the interest rate structure
model, which aids us in understanding why there are so many different interest
rates in the real world. Each different interest rate or yield is viewed in
this model as the sum of the risk-free interest rate plus a series of risk
premiums dependent on varying degrees of risk exposure. Among the risk premiums
included in this model are liquidity and term (or maturity) risk, inflation
risk, default risk, call risk, prepayment risk, and exposure to tax risk.
Because these risk premiums can change at any time, interest rates themselves
may change at any time and the causes of any particular interest-rate movement
can be very complex.
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