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Full-Information Forecasting, Valuation, and Business Strategy Analysis


After reading this chapter you should understand:
  • How forecasting is a matter of financial statement analysis for the future.
  • How financial statement drivers translate economic factors into a valuation.
  • How to identify key drivers.
  • How to conduct full-information pro forma analysis.
  • The 15 steps in pro forma analysis.
  • The seven steps involved in forecasting residual operating income and abnormal operating income growth.
  • How mergers and acquisitions are evaluated.
  • How pro forma analysis is used as a tool in strategy analysis.
After reading this chapter you should be able to:
  • Develop pro forma income statements and balance sheets for the future.
  • Make forecasts of future residual operating income, abnormal operating income growth, and free cash flow from pro forma financial statements.
  • Make valuations from pro forma financial statements.
  • Show how changes in forecasts for specific drivers change pro forma financial statements and valuations.
  • Use pro forma analysis for sensitivity analysis.
  • Calculate the effect of a proposed merger or acquisition on per-share value.
  • Use pro forma analysis to evaluate strategy scenarios.










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