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Key Terms
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Apportionment  Costs allocated to a specific segment of a project by using a percentage of planned total cost—for example, framing a house might use 25 percent of the total cost, or coding a teaching module 40 percent of total cost.
Bottom-up estimates  Detailed estimates of work packages usually made by those who are most familiar with the task (also called micro estimates).
Delphi Method  A group method to predict future events—e.g., time, cost.
Direct costs  Costs that are clearly charged to a specific work package—usually labor, materials, or equipment.
Function points  Points derived from past software projects to estimate project time and cost, given specific features of the project.
Learning curves  A mathematical curve used to predict a pattern of time reduction as a task is performed over and over.
Overhead costs  Typically organization costs that are not directly linked to a specific project. These costs cover general expenses such as upper management, legal, market promotion, and accounting. Overhead costs are usually charged per unit of time or as a percentage of labor or material costs.
Padding estimates  Adding a safety factor to a time or cost estimate to ensure the estimate is met when the project is executed.
Phase estimating  This estimating method begins with a macro estimate for the project and then refines estimates for phases of the project as it is implemented.
Range estimating  An estimating procedure used when there is significant uncertainty regarding the cost or time to complete a specific activity. Individuals estimate the worst case, best case , and most likely cost or time for a specific activity to determine the range of costs and times (i.e. activity A should take 4 days but it could take between 2 and 7 days to complete).
Ratio methods  Uses the ratio of past actual costs for similar work to estimate the cost for a potential project. This macro method of forecasting cost does not provide a sound basis for project cost control since it does not recognize differences among projects.
Template method  Use of a prepared form to develop project networks, costs, and time estimates.
Reference Class Forecasting  A sophisticated forecasting method in which you take an external view and forecast project costs based on actual outcomes of similar projects.
Time and cost databases  Collection of actual versus estimated times and costs of work packages over many projects that are used for estimating new project tasks and their expected possible error.
Top-down estimates  Rough estimates that use surrogates to estimate project time and cost (also called macro estimates).








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