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Multiple-Choice Quiz
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Please answer the following questions.



1

Which of the following forecasting techniques generates trend forecasts?
A)Delphi method
B)Weighted moving average
C)Moving averages
D)Single exponential smoothing
E)None of the above
2

What is the MAD for forecast errors of +4, -2, +1, -1?
A)0.00
B)0.50
C)1.00
D)1.50
E)2.00
3

Which one of these is not an element of a good forecast?
A)low cost
B)in writing
C)meaningful units
D)timely
E)measure of accuracy
4

Select the statement about moving averages and exponential smoothing that is not true.
A)Both tend to lag changes in a time series.
B)Both smooth data.
C)Both involve fairly simple calculations.
D)Both can be used obtain seasonal index numbers.
E)Both are easy to interpret.
5

Data that have large variation will result in:
A)a low MAD but a high MSE.
B)a high MAD but a low MSE.
C)a high MAD and a high MSE.
D)a low MAD and a low MSE.
E)an equal MAD and MSE.
6

The cumulative forecast error is important for determining the:
A)Mean squared error.
B)Bias in forecast error.
C)Mean absolute deviation.
D)Control limits.
7

Of these values, the value of that would track the data most closely is:
A)0
B).01
C).10
D).20
E).30







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