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Multiple Choice Quiz
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1
A key reason for poor decisions is failure to identify the problem.
A)True
B)False
2
Optimization for an organization may mean suboptimization for some departments.
A)True
B)False
3
A decision environment of uncertainty has probabilities assigned to each state of nature.
A)True
B)False
4
If a decision maker is using a maximax approach, the decision maker would choose the alternative that has the best possible payoff.
A)True
B)False
5
If a decision maker is using a maximin approach, the decision maker would choose the alternative that has the best of the worst possible payoffs.
A)True
B)False
6
A decision maker who uses the minimax regret approach is focusing on avoiding the "If only I had chosen…" effect.
A)True
B)False
7
Expected monetary value is the criterion that is useful for decision making under uncertainty.
A)True
B)False
8
The expected monetary value can be computed using a decision tree diagram
A)True
B)False
9
Sensitivity analysis is sometimes used to determine the expected value of perfect information.
A)True
B)False
10
The range of probability for which an alternative has the best expected value can be determined using a decision tree.
A)True
B)False
11
The EVPI is equal to the expected financial value of the regrets for the optimal decision under risk.
A)True
B)False
12
Which approach would be used by an optimistic (or desperate) decision maker?
A)maximin
B)maximax
C)minimax regret
D)EMV
13
Which approach would be used by a pessimistic decision maker?
A)maximin
B)maximax
C)minimax regret
D)EMV
14
Which approach requires having probabilities for the states of nature?
A)maximin
B)maximax
C)minimax regret
D)EMV
15
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The maximax choice would be:
A)Buy
B)Rent
C)Lease
16
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The maximin choice would be:
A)Buy
B)Rent
C)Lease
17
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The minimax regret choice would be:
A)Buy
B)Rent
C)Lease
18
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If the probability of Business Grows is 0.40, which alternative would be chosen using EMV?
A)Buy
B)Rent
C)Lease
19
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If the probability of Business Grows is 0.40, what is the EVPI?
A)57
B)44
C)42
D)36







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