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Problem 10.1 - Real GDP and price indexes Problem: Suppose an economy produces only one good. In the base year, production was 8 units at a price of $10 each. The next year, production increased to 9 units and the price of the good increased to $12. - Find nominal GDP in years 1 and 2.
- If the price index is 100 in the base year, what is the value of the price index in year 2?
- Find real GDP in year 2.
Suppose a hypothetical national economy can be represented by the following data:
Year | Nominal GDP | Price Index (2000 = 100) | Real GDP | 2007 | $1536 | 128 | | 2008 | $1663 | 132 | | 2009 | | 135 | $1274 | 2010 | $1792 | 140 | |
- Find real GDP in years 2007, 2008, and 2010.
- Find nominal GDP in year 2009.
| Answer: - In this simple economy, nominal GDP is simply the total output for the year times the price in that year. Year 1 nominal GDP is $10x8 = $80, while year 2 nominal GDP is $12x9 = $108.
- The price index is found as the ratio of the value of year 1's "market basket" evaluated at year 2 prices relative to the same market basket evaluated at year 1 prices (multiplied by 100.) In this example, the year 2 price index is ($12x8)/($10x8) times 100 = 120.
- Real GDP is equal to nominal GDP divided by (one one-hundredth of) the price index. Year 2 real GDP in this example is $108/1.2 = $90.
- 2007 real GDP is $1536/1.28 = $1200. 2008 real GDP is $1663/1.32 = $1260. In 2010, real GDP is $1792/1.40 = $1280.
- Nominal GDP for 2009 is found by multiplying that year's real GDP by (one one-hundredth of) the price index for that year. 2007 nominal GDP = $1274 x 1.35 = $1720.
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Problem 10.2 - GDP growth Problem: Consider the following data for a hypothetical economy: Year | Real GDP | Population | 1 | $50,000 | 200 | 2 | $51,400 | 202 |
- Calculate the growth rate of real GDP.
- At this rate of growth, approximately how many years will pass before real GDP doubles?
- Find real GDP per capita in each of the two years. Calculate the growth rate of real GDP per capita.
- At this rate of growth, approximately how many years will pass before real GDP per capita doubles?
| Answer: - The rate of growth is [($51,400 – $50,000)/$50,000] x 100 = 2.8%.
- The rule of 70 tells us that real GDP will double in approximately 70/2.8 = 25 years.
- Real GDP per capita in year 1 is $50,000/200 = $250, while in year 2 it is $51,400/202 = $254.46. The growth rate of real GDP per capita is then found as [($254.46 – 250)/250] x 100 = 1.78%.
- The rule of 70 suggests that real GDP per capita will double in approximately 70/1.78 = 39.3 years.
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Problem 10.3 - Productivity and economic growth Problem: Suppose an economy's real GDP is $5,000 billion. There are 125 million workers, each working an average of 2,000 hours per year. - What is the labor productivity per hour in this economy?
- Suppose worker productivity rises by 5% over the following year and the labor force grows by 1%. What is the projected value of real GDP?
- Based on your previous answer, what is this economy's rate of growth?
| Answer: - Use the formula: labor productivity = real GDP / hours of work. There are 2,000 x 125 million = 250 billion worker hours available in the economy, producing a real GDP of $5,000 billion. Labor productivity is then $5,000/250 = $20 per worker hour.
- Productivity will rise by 5% to $21 (20 + .05 x 20 = 21) and work hours will rise by 1% to 252.5 billion (250 + .01 x 250 = 252.5). Since real GDP equals work hours times productivity, real GDP will rise to 252.5 billion x $21 = $5302.5 billion.
- The rate of growth is approximately 6% [= 100 x (5,302.5 – 5,000) / 5,000].
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