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Principles of Environmental Science
William P. Cunningham, University of Minnesota
Mary Ann Cunningham, Vassar College

Human Populations

Web Exercises

Exploring growth factors in population data

How and why populations grow is a key question in environmental science. For this exercise you will examine and graph current population data for the world to explore which factors are most strongly correlated with birth rates. To start this exercise, click on popdata.xls (42.0K) Once open, use "Save As" to copy the file to your hard disk. If you have Excel on your computer you should be able to open the data file by double clicking on it. (Other spreadsheet programs can also read this file, but you must open it from within your program, not by double-clicking.)

1. This file contains population data for the countries of the world, sorted by the United Nations' Human Development Index (HDI) rank. First look at the top twenty countries. Where are they? What is the range of income levels (in GNP per capita) of the top twenty? What is the range of income for the bottom twenty countries?

2. Now make the following graphs. Detailed instructions for making graphs in Excel are included at the far right side of the spreadsheet page (column N).
a. First make an X,Y scatter graph of Adult Literacy and Births Rate. How would you describe the relationship between these variables? How would you explain this relationship?
b. Keep this graph in your spreadsheet while you make three more scatter graphs:
GNP per Capita and  Birth Rate,
Life Expectancy and Birth Rate
Infant Mortality and Birth Rate.
Describe the trends you observe and explain what they mean.

3. How would you compare the relative amount of scatter in each of the graphs you've made? Why do some curves slope from right to left while others slope the opposite direction. If you draw a line through the middle of the cluster of dots, some curve smoothly while others seem to have a break or inflection point. How would you interpret these patterns?

4. Try changing the shape of your graphs. (See instructions on the right side of the spreadsheet to do this.) If you make the graphs taller or wider, how does it affect the way your trends look? How could you deliberately manipulate the shape to affect other peoples' interpretation of the data? Is this ethical? Have you ever seen it done?

5. Now make a dot graph of GNP Per Capita and Adult Literacy. Is there a linear relationship between the two variables? Why or why not?